Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Market Outlook

Asian Markets Pause Amid Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Yuan Poised for Strength 1

Asian Markets Pause Amid Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Yuan Poised for Strength

Asian markets experienced mild losses, signaling a period of consolidation following a robust rally earlier this month. This earlier surge was fueled by increasing investor confidence that the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in September. However, a shift in focus among Asian investors is anticipated. Attention may soon pivot from U.S. monetary policy and […]

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Middle East Tensions and Fed Bets Propel Safe-Haven Assets, Boosting Oil and Gold 3

Middle East Tensions and Fed Bets Propel Safe-Haven Assets, Boosting Oil and Gold

Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, combined with shifting Federal Reserve expectations, have ignited a surge in safe-haven asset purchases. Oil prices climbed 0.7% as the region braces for further conflict following an Israeli airstrike on Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon. In parallel, the Asia Dollar Index began the week on a strong note, advancing

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Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Looms as Markets Brace for Potential Policy Signals 5

Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech Looms as Markets Brace for Potential Policy Signals

All eyes are on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell as he prepares to address the annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming on Friday, an event that could provide pivotal insights into the central bank’s policy trajectory. As traders await his remarks, the 10-year Treasury yield remained steady at 3.85%, while the two-year yield, which is more

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US Rate-Cut Bets Build Amid Fed Dovish Signals and Looming Jackson Hole Risks 7

US Rate-Cut Bets Build Amid Fed Dovish Signals and Looming Jackson Hole Risks

Investor expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts have gained traction in recent sessions, fueled by dovish undertones in the latest Federal Reserve minutes. Several Fed officials acknowledged the potential need for rate reductions, stoking speculation ahead of the pivotal Jackson Hole symposium. However, market participants are approaching the event with caution, wary that Fed Chair Jerome Powell might

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Dollar Stabilizes as Markets Look to Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech for Rate-Cut Signals 9

Dollar Stabilizes as Markets Look to Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech for Rate-Cut Signals

The U.S. dollar steadied on Tuesday after weakening for three consecutive sessions, as investors turned their attention to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. The Dollar Spot Index edged higher following its recent decline, reflecting cautious market sentiment as traders await clarity on the Fed’s stance regarding potential interest-rate cuts. Powell’s address is

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Markets Brace for Powell’s Speech as Traders Anticipate Fed's Signal on Rate Cuts 11

Markets Brace for Powell’s Speech as Traders Anticipate Fed’s Signal on Rate Cuts

Financial markets are on edge as traders await Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech on Friday, with expectations mounting that he may signal the central bank’s readiness to begin cutting interest rates. Amid this anticipation, U.S. Treasury 10-year yields remained steady, reflecting a cautious optimism in the bond market. The bullish sentiment in equities has

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U.S. Inflation Data Fuels Market Confidence in Fed Rate Cuts as Treasury Yields Rise 13

U.S. Inflation Data Fuels Market Confidence in Fed Rate Cuts as Treasury Yields Rise

The latest U.S. economic data has bolstered market sentiment, following Wednesday’s inflation report, which revealed that core consumer prices in July rose at the slowest annual pace since 2021. This significant cooling in inflation has heightened expectations for the Federal Reserve to initiate interest-rate cuts in the upcoming September meeting. Traders are now fully pricing in a 25

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U.S. Inflation Eases, Paving the Way for Fed to Shift Focus Toward Labor Market Support 15

U.S. Inflation Eases, Paving the Way for Fed to Shift Focus Toward Labor Market Support

The cooling of inflationary pressures in the U.S. is strengthening the case for the Federal Reserve to begin lowering interest rates, allowing policymakers to pivot their attention toward bolstering the labor market. Analysts at Saracen Markets are forecasting a modest 0.2% increase in both the consumer price index (CPI) and the core CPI, which excludes volatile

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Markets Brace for U.S. CPI Data Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation 17

Markets Brace for U.S. CPI Data Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation

Following last week’s market turbulence, all eyes are now on Wednesday’s U.S. consumer price index (CPI) report, which could determine whether the Federal Reserve has the flexibility to shift its focus back to the labor market. The key question for investors is whether the Fed can aggressively front-load rate cuts to achieve a soft landing for the

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Fed Rate Cut Hinges on Upcoming CPI Report as Market Braces for Volatility 19

Fed Rate Cut Hinges on Upcoming CPI Report as Market Braces for Volatility

All eyes are on this week’s U.S. consumer price index (CPI) report, which could provide the Federal Reserve with the crucial data needed to justify an interest rate cut at its next meeting in September. Market participants are eagerly anticipating the release, hoping it will offer the Fed the ammunition to shift its monetary policy stance

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