Market Outlook

Traders are bracing for key central bank decisions this week, with the European Central Bank (ECB) expected to announce a 25-basis point rate cut, driven by softer economic activity and a faster-than-expected disinflation trend across the Eurozone. Markets are now pricing in a 95% probability of this move, signaling that downside risks to European macroeconomic conditions and interest […]

Data released on Thursday highlighted the mounting challenges facing the Federal Reserve in its ongoing battle against inflation. U.S. core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose more than expected in September, signaling a stalling in the Fed’s efforts to bring inflation back to its 2% target. The stronger-than-anticipated rise in underlying inflation underscores

Markets are on edge as investors anticipate the latest U.S. inflation data, a report that is expected to show continued moderation in consumer prices. U.S. Treasuries dipped, while the dollar recorded its longest winning streak, reflecting growing uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s future policy direction. Despite some market movement, investor sentiment remained largely unchanged following the release

Federal Reserve officials are signaling a cautious and measured approach to potential interest rate cuts, with Boston Fed President Susan Collins emphasizing that any reductions should be carefully considered and grounded in evolving economic data. Meanwhile, Raphael Bostic, her counterpart at the Atlanta Fed, noted that while inflation risks have eased, the labor market now faces heightened

The Federal Reserve appears “well positioned” to engineer a soft landing for the U.S. economy following the latest robust jobs report, which has all but eliminated the prospect of a 50-basis-point rate cut in November. The labor market’s strength has sparked renewed discussions that the Fed may even keep rates unchanged if incoming economic data continues

Investors are reassessing their expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts as the U.S. economy continues to display resilience. September saw the strongest job gains in six months, signaling that growth momentum in the world’s largest economy remains intact. This economic vigor, coupled with a potential resurgence in inflation, is poised to strengthen the U.S. dollar

Investors are gearing up for the release of key U.S. jobs data on Friday, which is expected to shape the Federal Reserve’s next steps on interest rates. The dollar index edged lower in recent trade but remains on track for its biggest weekly gain in nearly six months, as traders temper expectations for aggressive rate cuts

Market participants are squarely focused on Friday’s nonfarm payroll data, which is expected to offer critical insights into the Federal Reserve’s next monetary policy move. With heightened uncertainty surrounding the size of the upcoming rate cut, labor market data has taken center stage in shaping the Fed’s trajectory, especially as the central bank weighs persistent inflationary

Oil prices surged, and gold hovered near record highs on Tuesday as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East fueled a broad risk-off sentiment across global markets. Iran’s barrage of missile attacks on Israel heightened fears of a larger regional conflict, driving a flight to safety that lifted both crude and haven assets while putting pressure on

Geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran escalated sharply over the weekend after Israel launched a “limited” ground operation against Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed militant group, in southern Lebanon. This operation, which saw Israeli forces crossing the border, follows the recent assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. Iran has vowed to retaliate against the killing, and Israel continued