Market Outlook

This week promises to be pivotal for global financial markets, as traders brace for central bank policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and Reserve Bank of Australia all of which could significantly impact the global economic landscape. Simultaneously, oil prices are trending higher as OPEC+ delays a scheduled output increase, while geopolitical tensions involving […]

Investor expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in November and December gained momentum on Tuesday as the latest JOLTS job openings report and consumer confidence data pointed to a potentially softer economic landing in the US. Job openings, a critical indicator of labor demand, fell from 7.86 million in August to 7.44 million in September,

Investors are on high alert as markets prepare for the upcoming U.S. election and a slate of critical economic data releases that could shape the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision. With polls indicating a tightly contested race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, market participants are weighing the potential impact

The yen tumbled to a nearly three-month low, slipping as much as 1% to 153.88 per dollar on Monday, after Japan’s ruling coalition missed securing a majority in parliament. The unexpected election outcome, resulting from Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s snap election gamble, has spurred concerns over potential political instability and dampened hawkish expectations for the Bank

U.S. Treasury yields dipped for a second consecutive day as investors recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, factoring in the risks surrounding the impending presidential election. The dollar held firm, poised for a fourth consecutive weekly gain, as earlier spikes in yields triggered a risk-off sentiment, prompting traders to pare back their bets on aggressive

The recent surge in U.S. Treasury yields and the strengthening of the U.S. dollar are dampening risk appetite in global markets, particularly in regions sensitive to U.S. monetary policy shifts. Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s easing trajectory, with swap traders no longer fully convinced of interest rate cuts during the remaining two policy

Financial markets are adjusting their outlook as traders reassess the likelihood of further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. Expectations for aggressive rate reductions have tempered, with the central bank signaling a preference for a slower, more cautious approach. The Fed faces uncertainty over how low it should ultimately cut rates, especially given the resilience of the

Gold surged to a record high, reflecting heightened demand as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified and investors positioned themselves ahead of the closely contested U.S. presidential election. The precious metal touched an all-time peak of approximately $2,730 an ounce, driven by a confluence of factors including global economic uncertainty and escalating conflict in the

US retail sales posted a stronger-than-expected increase, shaking up market sentiment and prompting traders to reassess their expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. The robust retail sales data suggests resilient consumer demand, leading investors to trim their wagers on the Fed implementing two additional rate cuts by year-end. The world’s largest bond market

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates for the second consecutive meeting, responding swiftly to a troubling combination of falling inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic outlook across the eurozone. Just five weeks after its last rate reduction, market analysts, including those at SARACEN MARKETS, anticipate the ECB will announce a 25