Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Market Outlook

Markets Shift to Safe Havens as US Growth Concerns Deepen 1

Markets Shift to Safe Havens as US Growth Concerns Deepen

Flight to Safety Boosts Yen, Swiss Franc, and Gold Investor anxiety over a slowing US economy has triggered a shift into traditional safe havens, lifting the yen and Swiss franc while keeping the dollar near its weakest level since November. Gold inched higher as traders sought refuge from rising economic uncertainty, while oil prices slumped […]

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Markets on Edge as Traders Brace for US Jobs Data and Fed Signals 3

Markets on Edge as Traders Brace for US Jobs Data and Fed Signals

Volatility Grips Markets Amid Policy Uncertainty Financial markets have experienced sharp swings this week as investors navigate heightened geopolitical risks and conflicting signals from Washington regarding trade policy. Confusion surrounding the Trump administration’s stance on tariffs has added to market uncertainty, keeping traders on high alert. With sentiment shifting rapidly, all eyes are now on

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Markets Brace for ECB Decision as Geopolitical Risks Fuel Bond Selloff 5

Markets Brace for ECB Decision as Geopolitical Risks Fuel Bond Selloff

Global Bond Rout Deepens Amid Tariff and Geopolitical Uncertainty Financial markets remain on edge as traders navigate a landscape dominated by geopolitical tensions and shifting trade policies. The latest market turmoil comes as the US signals wavering support for Ukraine while delivering mixed messages on tariff policy. These uncertainties have fueled volatility across asset classes,

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MARKETS REBOUND AS TRUMP ADMINISTRATION SIGNALS TARIFF SHIFT 7

MARKETS REBOUND AS TRUMP ADMINISTRATION SIGNALS TARIFF SHIFT

Relief Rally Unfolds as Washington Hints at Softening Trade Stance Markets rallied after US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick suggested that the Trump administration may reconsider certain tariffs, offering a glimmer of hope to investors rattled by prolonged trade tensions. US Treasuries held onto Tuesday’s losses, while the dollar strengthened against all G-10 peers as President

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TRUMP TARIFFS RATTLE MARKETS, DOLLAR GAINS 9

TRUMP TARIFFS RATTLE MARKETS, DOLLAR GAINS

Financial markets braced for heightened volatility as US President Donald Trump unveiled plans to impose 25% tariffs on the European Union, with previously announced duties on Mexico and Canada set to take effect on April 2. However, inconsistent messaging from the administration has left investors grappling with uncertainty, fueling swings across currency and equity markets.

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OIL RISES AS INVESTORS DIGEST NEW SANCTIONS, GOLD HOLDS NEAR RECORD 11

OIL RISES AS INVESTORS DIGEST NEW SANCTIONS, GOLD HOLDS NEAR RECORD

Crude oil edged higher as traders assessed the impact of fresh US sanctions on Iran, adding another layer of complexity to global supply dynamics. Meanwhile, gold hovered near its all-time high, fueled by ongoing demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty. Treasury 10-year yields slipped three basis points to 4.4% in Asia, tracking the flight

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EURO GAINS AS TREASURIES SLIP, GOLD NEARS RECORD HIGH 13

EURO GAINS AS TREASURIES SLIP, GOLD NEARS RECORD HIGH

Treasury futures declined as trading resumed on Monday, though cash Treasuries remained inactive in Asia due to Japan’s market holiday. The US dollar softened in early Asian trading, while the euro led gains among G-10 currencies, rising 0.5% against the greenback. The move came after Germany’s conservative leader Friedrich Merz signaled his intent to swiftly

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JAPAN INFLATION SURGES, YEN SLIPS, OIL POSTS STRONG WEEKLY GAIN 15

JAPAN INFLATION SURGES, YEN SLIPS, OIL POSTS STRONG WEEKLY GAIN

Japan’s inflation picked up more than expected in January, with core consumer prices excluding fresh food rising 3.2% year-on-year, marking the sharpest gain since June 2023. The data reinforced expectations for a policy shift from the Bank of Japan, with traders now pricing in an 84% probability of a 25-basis-point hike by July, up from

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FED MINUTES SIGNAL POLICY PAUSE, TRUMP PRESSURES UKRAINE ON PEACE TALKS 17

FED MINUTES SIGNAL POLICY PAUSE, TRUMP PRESSURES UKRAINE ON PEACE TALKS

Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January meeting underscored policymakers’ preference for maintaining current interest rate levels amid persistent inflation and lingering economic uncertainty. Officials also signaled potential adjustments to the pace of quantitative tightening (QT), indicating they may hold off on further balance-sheet reductions until the ongoing US debt-ceiling debate is resolved. Geopolitical Tensions Rise

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TARIFF UNCERTAINTY, FED POLICY, AND GEOPOLITICS DRIVE MARKETS 19

TARIFF UNCERTAINTY, FED POLICY, AND GEOPOLITICS DRIVE MARKETS

Investors are closely monitoring trade developments as President Donald Trump prepares to unveil new tariffs as early as April 2, adding to previously announced 25% levies on steel and aluminum set to take effect in March. His latest comments provided the clearest signal yet on expanding protectionist measures across additional sectors. Meanwhile, Japan’s exports surged,

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