Market Outlook

SARACEN MARKETS | Global Macro Briefing | April 8, 2025 Mounting concern over the durability of the U.S. economic expansion is sending tremors across global markets and for the first time in over a decade, even traditional safe havens are starting to crack. Oil prices have plunged to fresh four-year lows, signaling weakening global demand […]

The Australian Dollar clawed back modest ground early Tuesday, with AUD/USD edging up to 0.6050 in Asia. But make no mistake  the pair remains under intense pressure as markets increasingly price in recession risk stemming from President Trump’s sweeping tariff regime. Investors are now navigating a sharply risk-off environment. The US Dollar, while traditionally a haven, is showing cracks as fears

Investors Brace for Volatility Amid Deepening Trade War The U.S. dollar extended its slide, while 10-year Treasury yields slipped below the key 4% level on Friday, adding fuel to the debate over whether the greenback can still serve as a reliable haven in times of market turbulence. With risk assets selling off globally, hedge funds have flipped bearish on the

Market Eyes Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge for Policy Clues The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to release February’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index today, a pivotal data point that could shape the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index carries significant weight in market pricing, with

Shifting Trade Policy Fuels Market Uncertainty The U.S. dollar fell across the board after President Trump downplayed the severity of upcoming reciprocal tariffs, raising fresh questions about the administration’s trade policy direction. With markets already on edge, the uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade sanctions targeting both allies and adversaries has left investors scrambling to assess the broader impact on global trade flows and

Investors Weigh Risks Ahead of April 2 Tariff Announcement Global markets, rattled by fears of an escalating trade war, found some relief as signs emerged that the next wave of U.S. tariffs will be more focused than previously threatened by President Trump. While the outlook remains uncertain, investors are treading carefully, awaiting further clarity on policy details before making major portfolio

Traders Brace for U.S. Trade Policy Shifts Amid Global Economic Jitters Investor sentiment is showing tentative signs of improvement as the next round of U.S. tariffs, set for April 2, appears to be more targeted rather than a broad-based global crackdown, according to officials familiar with the matter. However, traders remain wary, as policymakers in China and Australia

Trade Uncertainty and Central Bank Caution Keep Investors on High Alert Global markets are facing mounting uncertainty as tariff risks and corporate earnings weigh on sentiment. U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed that broad reciprocal tariffs along with targeted sector-specific duties will take effect on April 2, raising fresh concerns over global economic stability. Major central banks, including the Federal

Markets Weigh Fed’s Policy Path as Tariff Uncertainty Lingers The Federal Reserve reaffirmed its openness to rate cuts later this year, signaling that inflationary pressures from tariffs will likely be temporary. This dovish tone fueled a weaker dollar outlook, offering some relief to emerging markets grappling with capital outflows. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar tumbled after a surprise contraction in employment,

Rate Pause Expected, But Powell’s Tone Holds the Key The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to extend its pause on rate cuts in March, but traders are laser-focused on the Statement of Economic Projections (SEP), particularly the Dot Plot and Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, both of which will shape market expectations for the next policy move. Hints of a prolonged