Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Gold Hits Record High Amid Middle East Tensions and U.S. Election Uncertainty 1

Gold Hits Record High Amid Middle East Tensions and U.S. Election Uncertainty

Gold surged to a record high, reflecting heightened demand as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified and investors positioned themselves ahead of the closely contested U.S. presidential election. The precious metal touched an all-time peak of approximately $2,730 an ounce, driven by a confluence of factors including global economic uncertainty and escalating conflict in the […]

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US Retail Sales Surge Dampens Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Pushing Treasury Yields Higher 3

US Retail Sales Surge Dampens Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Pushing Treasury Yields Higher

US retail sales posted a stronger-than-expected increase, shaking up market sentiment and prompting traders to reassess their expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. The robust retail sales data suggests resilient consumer demand, leading investors to trim their wagers on the Fed implementing two additional rate cuts by year-end. The world’s largest bond market

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ECB Poised for Second Consecutive Rate Cut Amid Mounting Economic Challenges 5

ECB Poised for Second Consecutive Rate Cut Amid Mounting Economic Challenges

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates for the second consecutive meeting, responding swiftly to a troubling combination of falling inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic outlook across the eurozone. Just five weeks after its last rate reduction, market analysts, including those at SARACEN MARKETS, anticipate the ECB will announce a 25

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Pound Slips as UK Inflation Dips Below BoE Target, Raising Prospects of Further Rate Cuts 7

Pound Slips as UK Inflation Dips Below BoE Target, Raising Prospects of Further Rate Cuts

The British pound weakened against the dollar after the UK’s inflation rate fell below the Bank of England’s (BoE) 2% target for the first time in over three and a half years, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. The drop in inflation heightens expectations for a second interest rate cut next month, aimed at bolstering

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Yen Surges as Dollar Nears Intervention Zone, U.S. Inflation and Labor Data Curb Fed Rate Cut Bets 9

Yen Surges as Dollar Nears Intervention Zone, U.S. Inflation and Labor Data Curb Fed Rate Cut Bets

The yen outperformed all G-10 currencies this week, holding close to the psychologically significant 150-per-dollar level as investors remain wary of potential intervention by Japanese authorities. Market participants are closely watching for signs of action as the yen’s weakening trajectory amplifies concerns around central bank measures to stabilize the currency. In the U.S., inflationary pressures resurfaced

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ECB Rate Cut Anticipation Grows Amid Euro Weakness as Dollar Gains 11

ECB Rate Cut Anticipation Grows Amid Euro Weakness as Dollar Gains

Traders are bracing for key central bank decisions this week, with the European Central Bank (ECB) expected to announce a 25-basis point rate cut, driven by softer economic activity and a faster-than-expected disinflation trend across the Eurozone. Markets are now pricing in a 95% probability of this move, signaling that downside risks to European macroeconomic conditions and interest

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Rising Inflation and Jobless Claims Underscore Fed's Policy Challenge as Markets Eye Rate Cuts 13

Rising Inflation and Jobless Claims Underscore Fed’s Policy Challenge as Markets Eye Rate Cuts

Data released on Thursday highlighted the mounting challenges facing the Federal Reserve in its ongoing battle against inflation. U.S. core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose more than expected in September, signaling a stalling in the Fed’s efforts to bring inflation back to its 2% target. The stronger-than-anticipated rise in underlying inflation underscores

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Traders Brace for Key Inflation Data as Dollar Surges and Treasury Yields Rise 15

Traders Brace for Key Inflation Data as Dollar Surges and Treasury Yields Rise

Markets are on edge as investors anticipate the latest U.S. inflation data, a report that is expected to show continued moderation in consumer prices. U.S. Treasuries dipped, while the dollar recorded its longest winning streak, reflecting growing uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s future policy direction. Despite some market movement, investor sentiment remained largely unchanged following the release

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Fed Officials Signal Caution on Rate Cuts, Emphasize Data-Driven Approach Amid Economic Shifts 17

Fed Officials Signal Caution on Rate Cuts, Emphasize Data-Driven Approach Amid Economic Shifts

Federal Reserve officials are signaling a cautious and measured approach to potential interest rate cuts, with Boston Fed President Susan Collins emphasizing that any reductions should be carefully considered and grounded in evolving economic data. Meanwhile, Raphael Bostic, her counterpart at the Atlanta Fed, noted that while inflation risks have eased, the labor market now faces heightened

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Fed Poised to Achieve Soft Landing Amid Strong Jobs Data, but Geopolitical Risks Loom 19

Fed Poised to Achieve Soft Landing Amid Strong Jobs Data, but Geopolitical Risks Loom

The Federal Reserve appears “well positioned” to engineer a soft landing for the U.S. economy following the latest robust jobs report, which has all but eliminated the prospect of a 50-basis-point rate cut in November. The labor market’s strength has sparked renewed discussions that the Fed may even keep rates unchanged if incoming economic data continues

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