Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Author name: Market Outlook

US Retail Sales Surge Dampens Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Pushing Treasury Yields Higher 1

US Retail Sales Surge Dampens Fed Rate Cut Expectations, Pushing Treasury Yields Higher

US retail sales posted a stronger-than-expected increase, shaking up market sentiment and prompting traders to reassess their expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. The robust retail sales data suggests resilient consumer demand, leading investors to trim their wagers on the Fed implementing two additional rate cuts by year-end. The world’s largest bond market […]

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ECB Poised for Second Consecutive Rate Cut Amid Mounting Economic Challenges 3

ECB Poised for Second Consecutive Rate Cut Amid Mounting Economic Challenges

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates for the second consecutive meeting, responding swiftly to a troubling combination of falling inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic outlook across the eurozone. Just five weeks after its last rate reduction, market analysts, including those at SARACEN MARKETS, anticipate the ECB will announce a 25

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Pound Slips as UK Inflation Dips Below BoE Target, Raising Prospects of Further Rate Cuts 5

Pound Slips as UK Inflation Dips Below BoE Target, Raising Prospects of Further Rate Cuts

The British pound weakened against the dollar after the UK’s inflation rate fell below the Bank of England’s (BoE) 2% target for the first time in over three and a half years, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. The drop in inflation heightens expectations for a second interest rate cut next month, aimed at bolstering

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Yen Surges as Dollar Nears Intervention Zone, U.S. Inflation and Labor Data Curb Fed Rate Cut Bets 7

Yen Surges as Dollar Nears Intervention Zone, U.S. Inflation and Labor Data Curb Fed Rate Cut Bets

The yen outperformed all G-10 currencies this week, holding close to the psychologically significant 150-per-dollar level as investors remain wary of potential intervention by Japanese authorities. Market participants are closely watching for signs of action as the yen’s weakening trajectory amplifies concerns around central bank measures to stabilize the currency. In the U.S., inflationary pressures resurfaced

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ECB Rate Cut Anticipation Grows Amid Euro Weakness as Dollar Gains 9

ECB Rate Cut Anticipation Grows Amid Euro Weakness as Dollar Gains

Traders are bracing for key central bank decisions this week, with the European Central Bank (ECB) expected to announce a 25-basis point rate cut, driven by softer economic activity and a faster-than-expected disinflation trend across the Eurozone. Markets are now pricing in a 95% probability of this move, signaling that downside risks to European macroeconomic conditions and interest

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