Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Author name: Market Outlook

Traders Brace for Key PCE Inflation Data as Fed Signals Policy Path 1

Traders Brace for Key PCE Inflation Data as Fed Signals Policy Path

Market Eyes Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge for Policy Clues The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to release February’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index today, a pivotal data point that could shape the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index carries significant weight in market pricing, with […]

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Dollar Slips as Trump Softens Stance on Tariffs 3

Dollar Slips as Trump Softens Stance on Tariffs

Shifting Trade Policy Fuels Market Uncertainty The U.S. dollar fell across the board after President Trump downplayed the severity of upcoming reciprocal tariffs, raising fresh questions about the administration’s trade policy direction. With markets already on edge, the uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade sanctions targeting both allies and adversaries has left investors scrambling to assess the broader impact on global trade flows and

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Markets Cautiously Optimistic as U.S. Tariffs Take a More Targeted Approach 5

Markets Cautiously Optimistic as U.S. Tariffs Take a More Targeted Approach

Investors Weigh Risks Ahead of April 2 Tariff Announcement Global markets, rattled by fears of an escalating trade war, found some relief as signs emerged that the next wave of U.S. tariffs will be more focused than previously threatened by President Trump. While the outlook remains uncertain, investors are treading carefully, awaiting further clarity on policy details before making major portfolio

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Markets on Edge as Targeted Tariffs Ease Fears, but Uncertainty Lingers 7

Markets on Edge as Targeted Tariffs Ease Fears, but Uncertainty Lingers

Traders Brace for U.S. Trade Policy Shifts Amid Global Economic Jitters Investor sentiment is showing tentative signs of improvement as the next round of U.S. tariffs, set for April 2, appears to be more targeted rather than a broad-based global crackdown, according to officials familiar with the matter. However, traders remain wary, as policymakers in China and Australia

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Markets on Edge as Tariffs, Earnings Cloud Global Growth Outlook 9

Markets on Edge as Tariffs, Earnings Cloud Global Growth Outlook

Trade Uncertainty and Central Bank Caution Keep Investors on High Alert Global markets are facing mounting uncertainty as tariff risks and corporate earnings weigh on sentiment. U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed that broad reciprocal tariffs along with targeted sector-specific duties will take effect on April 2, raising fresh concerns over global economic stability. Major central banks, including the Federal

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Fed Signals Rate Cuts Still on the Table, Dollar Under Pressure 11

Fed Signals Rate Cuts Still on the Table, Dollar Under Pressure

Markets Weigh Fed’s Policy Path as Tariff Uncertainty Lingers The Federal Reserve reaffirmed its openness to rate cuts later this year, signaling that inflationary pressures from tariffs will likely be temporary. This dovish tone fueled a weaker dollar outlook, offering some relief to emerging markets grappling with capital outflows. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar tumbled after a surprise contraction in employment,

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Traders Brace for Fed Guidance as Gold Hits Record Highs 13

Traders Brace for Fed Guidance as Gold Hits Record Highs

Rate Pause Expected, But Powell’s Tone Holds the Key The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to extend its pause on rate cuts in March, but traders are laser-focused on the Statement of Economic Projections (SEP), particularly the Dot Plot and Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, both of which will shape market expectations for the next policy move. Hints of a prolonged

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Traders Brace for Central Bank Decisions as Trump’s Trade War Tests Markets 15

Traders Brace for Central Bank Decisions as Trump’s Trade War Tests Markets

Fed, BoJ, and BoE in Focus Amid Heightened Policy Uncertainty Global investors are gearing up for a pivotal week of central bank decisions, with monetary policymakers navigating the economic turbulence triggered by President Donald Trump’s escalating trade measures. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to maintain its current policy stance after last month’s rate hike,

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Dollar Rallies as Shutdown Fears Ease, Markets Eye Trade and Geopolitical Risks 17

Dollar Rallies as Shutdown Fears Ease, Markets Eye Trade and Geopolitical Risks

Greenback Strengthens Amid Fiscal Certainty, Tariff Uncertainty Lingers The U.S. dollar extended its rally into Friday, with a key index tracking the greenback advancing for a third consecutive session as a stopgap funding bill appeared set to avert a government shutdown. The move alleviates a major source of uncertainty for markets, which remain on edge

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Crude Prices Ease as Traders Weigh Supply Constraints Against Growth Risks 19

Crude Prices Ease as Traders Weigh Supply Constraints Against Growth Risks

Crude Prices Ease as Traders Weigh Supply Constraints Against Growth Risks Oil prices pulled back slightly after a sharp rally, as traders weighed tight U.S. fuel inventories against mounting concerns over global economic headwinds. Gasoline stockpiles plunged by 5.7 million barrels well beyond market expectations fueling optimism for stronger seasonal demand. However, persistent geopolitical tensions

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