Authorized and Regulated Entities: SARACEN MARKETS (PTY) LTD

Author name: Analyst

Dollar Retreats Amid Reassessment of Interest-Rate Cut Bets 1

Dollar Retreats Amid Reassessment of Interest-Rate Cut Bets

The dollar came under pressure as markets reassessed bets on interest-rate cuts, retreating as policy easing in Canada shifted focus to the US rate path. Investors are also anticipating a potential rate reduction by the European Central Bank when policymakers meet on Thursday. Ahead of this week’s US jobs report, a private payrolls reading on Wednesday showed […]

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Decline in US Job Openings Bolsters Bets on Fed Rate Cut 3

Decline in US Job Openings Bolsters Bets on Fed Rate Cut

Markets are shifting their focus to a series of labor-market readings this week, including Friday’s US jobs report, for further clues on when the Federal Reserve might deploy rate cuts. Early Wednesday, gold prices attempted a tepid rebound toward $2,340, having tested a three-week low of $2,315 a day earlier. Investors are now closely watching

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Investors Balance US Economic Health Concerns with Anticipation of Fed Policy Easing 5

Investors Balance US Economic Health Concerns with Anticipation of Fed Policy Easing

Investors are navigating concerns about the US economy’s health while growing increasingly optimistic about early Federal Reserve policy easing. The dollar stabilized after weakening against most major and Asian currencies. Market participants are likely awaiting more US data, especially Friday’s critical jobs report, to gain clearer insights into the trajectory of the world’s largest economy and

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Traders Await Key Inflation Data as Dollar and Treasuries Hold Steady 7

Traders Await Key Inflation Data as Dollar and Treasuries Hold Steady

Traders are on alert for pivotal inflation data from both the region and the US, set for release later on Friday. The dollar and US Treasuries have steadied ahead of the Federal Reserve’s preferred price gauge, following a report indicating softer US economic growth, with spending and inflation both revised downward. Markets expect the core Personal

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Gold Prices Dip as Hawkish Fed Commentary Dampens Rate Cut Hopes 9

Gold Prices Dip as Hawkish Fed Commentary Dampens Rate Cut Hopes

Gold prices fell for the first time this week, pressured by growing market skepticism that the Federal Reserve will implement more than one interest rate cut in 2024. Current market sentiment suggests a 53% chance the Fed will hold rates steady in September, with a 60% probability of a rate cut in November. Recent hawkish remarks from

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Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Comments Temper Rate Cut Bets 11

Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Comments Temper Rate Cut Bets

Investors are recalibrating their expectations for US rate cuts in response to rising Treasury yields and hawkish comments from a Federal Reserve official. Resilient consumer confidence data and higher rates in the US have heightened the risk of prolonged elevated rates. Remarks from Fed’s Neel Kashkari highlighted the central bank’s restrictive policy stance, with the possibility

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USD Faces Downside Risk Amid Key Inflation Data and Global Economic Indicators 13

USD Faces Downside Risk Amid Key Inflation Data and Global Economic Indicators

The US dollar could face downward pressure later this week if the US core PCE deflator moderates, China’s PMIs show improvement, or euro-zone inflation re-accelerates due to statistical quirks. Traders are gearing up for a week packed with inflation data from Australia, Japan, the eurozone, and the US. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core Personal Consumption

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Gold Retreats from Record High as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Signals 15

Gold Retreats from Record High as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Signals

Gold prices have retreated further from the all-time high of $2,450 set on Monday, amid a rebound in the US Dollar and rising US Treasury bond yields as risk sentiment sours. Despite the pullback, downside for gold appears limited as attention turns to upcoming Federal Reserve (Fed) speeches for policy cues. The week began with a

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Copper and Gold Hit Record Highs Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation 17

Copper and Gold Hit Record Highs Amid Fed Rate Cut Speculation

The prices of copper and gold surged to record highs, driven by growing optimism over potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This sentiment has been shaping trading across financial markets, with traders refining their bets on the Fed’s anticipated pivot toward easing monetary policy. Gold soared to an all-time high on Monday, buoyed by hopes of

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Fed Officials Advocate Patience on Rate Cuts as China's Consumer Growth Slows 19

Fed Officials Advocate Patience on Rate Cuts as China’s Consumer Growth Slows

Investors hoping for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are instead hearing a growing chorus of voices urging patience. Several Fed officials, including Loretta Mester, John Williams, and Thomas Barkin, have emphasized the need to keep borrowing costs elevated for a longer period, as they wait for clearer signs that inflation is easing. They caution that it

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